popularvoteanalytics.org

Who won the popular vote in the 2026 midterms?

Democrats lead the 2026 House popular vote by 12.4 points: Democrats 55.4%, Republicans 43.1%, other candidates 1.5%, as of Nov. 6, 2026, 12:14 p.m. ET. These are unofficial counts and some states are still counting, so the margin can still move.

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Democrats lead the 2026 House popular vote by 12.4 points, 62,109,867 votes to 48,253,691. Democrats have won 260 seats and Republicans 175 (22 of them credited on Polymarket odds above 70%, not a media call); every seat has been called.

Several states, including California, are still counting mail ballots. This is the count so far, not a projection.

In 2024, the House popular vote margin was R+2.6 (final totals from the Clerk of the U.S. House), so 2026 is a swing of 14.9 points toward Democrats so far.

Only the House is counted here. Is there a Senate popular vote?

Counts as of Nov. 6, 2026, 12:14 p.m. ET.

Votes and seats by state and district →